Posted 24th July 2020 by Dave Cross
The ‘endgame’ was always about how society could become tobacco-free and revolved around concepts such as applying financial pressure or legislation restricting access. Clive Bates notes that none of the measures have had any real impact over the last several years. In his latest contribution to the debate, Clive asks what the endgame looks like now – and what should end.

Age restrictions, plain packs, aggressive warnings – tobacco control experts have a wealth of harsh measures they wanted to see implemented. Clive comments: “Most of these ideas have not progressed at all. And rightly so, as I argued in a detailed critique, these policies are mostly impractical or excessively coercive and would fail if tried.

He argues that even staunch tobacco controllers agreed with the notion that measures like reducing nicotine content in tobacco only works if there is a viable alternative to smoking.

Boy, didn’t an alternative arrive in style!

With vaping now firmly entrenched in the global marketplace, Clive queries: “Where is the endgame now? Or maybe the more interesting prior question is: endgame for what? What will end and what, if anything, will continue? Does the endgame mean the end of tobacco and nicotine use? Or is the endgame, as I believe, the final stages of a transition—a shift from an unsustainable to a sustainable nicotine market?”

Clive argues that pre-vaping, tobacco controllers had a simple list they could all subscribe to:

  1. Reducing disease and premature death
  2. Eliminating smoking and smoke exposure
  3. Eliminating tobacco
  4. Destroying the tobacco industry
  5. Achieving the nicotine-free society

But now nicotine can be taken without the harmful toxins created from a burning plant, he believes tobacco controllers are being forced to face unpalatable truths – and are having to come to terms with the conflicts in their goals.

In particular, we are seeing the goal of the “nicotine-free society” coming to the fore, with an increasing stress on nicotine and the inclusion of goals to end nicotine use or “nicotine addiction” where there was previously an aim to pursue the end of smoking or to prevent disease.”

Vaping has created a long-term market for nicotine use, and Clive says, “for some in tobacco control, this is a nightmare vision. This is not the nicotine-free society that has been their ultimate endgame.”

Clive’s full article is linked below.


  • The Endgame Revisited”, Clive Bates – [link]

 Dave Cross
Article by Dave Cross
Freelance writer, physicist, karateka, motorbikes, and dog walker
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